Wine Industry News Round-Up for the Week Ending 1/19/24

A look back at the events of the wine industry from the previous week.

Table of Contents

The Silicon Valley Bank Wine Report reveals significant challenges in the wine industry, with declining interest among younger consumers and an over-saturated market. The report predicts a potential uptick in spending and a return to direct sales and tasting room visits in 2024, but overall U.S. wine sales are expected to continue declining. Great Britain’s record-breaking wine production in 2023 raises concerns about oversupply and price depressions, despite potentially expanding the market for English wines. The industry also faces threats from climate change and geopolitical tensions affecting shipping routes, alongside evolving consumer preferences like health consciousness and the rise of non-alcoholic options. Organic wine production is at a critical point, and new EU labeling laws requiring disclosure of ingredients and nutritional information pose challenges for winemakers. Corporate shifts include Uber shutting down Drizly and Vintage Wine Estates restructuring to focus on premium brands. Ste. Michelle Wine Estates is seeking to rezone its Woodinville property for development, reflecting changing strategies within the wine industry.

Silicon Valley Bank Wine Report Takeaways

Wine Leaves a Bad Taste for Younger Drinkers | Wine-Searcher News & Features

The wine industry is grappling with challenges, including a decline in the younger demographic’s interest mainly due to their aversion to the taste of wine, while an aging Baby Boomer generation remains its primary consumer base. Rob McMillan’s annual State of the Industry report, also known as the Silicon Valley Bank Wine Report, suggests a possible uptick in spending on wine and a return to direct sales and tasting room visits in 2024, following a tough year. However, negative health messaging, legal limitations on promoting wine’s health benefits, and a market saturated with grapes create an uncertain future. McMillan advocates for industry unity in the face of these issues and criticizes negative marketing tactics such as those used by some natural wine producers. Despite a challenging year for his company, McMillan remains optimistic, predicting no recession in 2024 and encouraging collaboration to promote wine as a whole.

US wine sales continue to decline

US wine sales continue to face a slowdown as indicated by the Silicon Valley Bank’s wine industry report. The report forecasts negligible value growth and anticipates increased use of flash sales and discounts in the market. Although tasting room visits and direct-to-consumer sales are set to rise, overall wine sales are expected to decline in 2024. The report highlights concerns about elevated wholesale inventories and over-production in California and Washington, while suggesting that industry cooperation and adaptability may be necessary to navigate these challenging market conditions. Additionally, it recommends diversifying sales strategies, such as opening satellite tasting rooms, to optimize performance.

Wine Trends in 2024

Great Britain Just Had Its Largest Ever Wine Vintage. The Implications Could Be Huge.

Great Britain experienced its largest ever wine vintage in 2023, with an estimated production of 20 to 22 million bottles. The record-breaking production was a result of favorable weather conditions, technological investments, and a substantial increase in vine plantings. However, this surge in production could lead to challenges such as an oversupply problem and potential price depressions. While this might make English wines more accessible to a broader market and potentially increase their presence in the United States, industry experts have differing views regarding the implications of this notable growth. These opinions range from concern over market saturation to excitement about increased diversity and the unique qualities of English wines, particularly its renowned traditional-method sparkling wine.

The 11 Threats and Opportunities for Wine in 2024 | Meininger’s International

Amidst the backdrop of significant global events, the wine industry faces a convoluted mix of threats and opportunities in 2024, from logistic nightmares posed by climate change repercussions on shipping routes like the Panama Canal and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East affecting the Suez Canal. Economically, the withdrawal of pandemic-era savings could tighten consumer spending on luxuries like wine, while politically, populism and significant elections may have indirect impacts on the wine trade, recalling the US tariffs on European wines during Trump’s presidency. China’s potential lifting of tariffs on Australian wine could shake up international dynamics but is unlikely to immediately recover former market positions.

Consumption trends show a stark decline in regular wine drinkers in France, indicating a broader, global shift where wine competes against a multitude of other beverages and leisure choices. Flavored wine variants and wine-based beverages are diversifying to attract non-traditional wine consumers. Meanwhile, the rise of non-alcoholic options continues as part of the health and wellness trend. Legislatively, the EU’s new labeling demands could encourage global transparency on ingredients and nutritional information. AI is projected to further integrate into viticulture and marketing, optimizing processes and content creation.

Organic wine production faces a critical point due to challenging growing conditions, potentially leading to a reversal or slowdown in the movement toward sustainability. Health perceptions of wine are at a crossroads with WHO’s classification of all alcohol as unhealthy, prompting the beginning of an industry pushback focusing on wine’s cultural and social roles rather than contested health benefits. The industry’s response to these issues will significantly influence wine’s trajectory in 2024.

Can the wine industry’s crisis be stopped?

The ProWein Business Report reveals a critical situation for the wine industry, marked by a falling global surplus and a decline in consumption. Economic challenges and the suggestions of a shift from premiumization to popularization within the market add to the growing concerns. The survey finds a strong consensus for the need to simplify and reach new consumers through improved communication, emphasizing the necessity for economic sustainability and enhanced consumer understanding. Despite these challenges, there is an acknowledgment of the problems within the industry and an emphasis on the need for holistic approaches.

Champagne Region Releases Global Shipping Data for 2023

The Champagne region shipped a total of 299 million bottles in 2023, marking a return to pre-Covid shipment levels. This figure represents an 8.2% drop from the previous year, signaling a stabilization after three years of extraordinary growth. While France’s domestic market experienced a decline due to inflation, export markets rebounded, accounting for over 57% of total sales. Despite the drop in volume, higher values for cuvées supported the appellation’s sales to stay above 6 billion euros. Champagne industry leaders highlight the return to market stability and express cautious optimism for the future given the global economic context.

Wine Industry Closures & Restructuring

Uber shutting down Drizly three years after $1.1 billion acquisition

Uber has decided to shut down Drizly, an alcohol delivery service purchased three years ago for $1.1 billion. This move was influenced in part by concerns over cybersecurity and focusing on Uber Eats‘ core strategy, according to Pierre-Dimitri Gore-Coty, Uber’s SVP of delivery. Drizly’s unique delivery model and a prior security breach involving customer information contributed to this decision.

Vintage Wine Estates Restructures Organization, Initiates Cost Cuts and Simplifies Business Model

Vintage Wine Estates, Inc. (VWE) has announced a major business restructuring to simplify its operations and focus on a core set of Super Premium+ priority brands, reducing workforce by about 15% to achieve annualized savings of $7.1 million. The organization aims to monetize certain assets and streamline its business model, intending to concentrate on a smaller, sustainable core business, which includes fewer, stronger brands. This move reflects an effort to achieve higher margins and stronger brand desirability while establishing a more consumer-centric and disciplined approach to marketing and distribution.

The Impact of New Wine Labeling Laws

Labeling Laws Another Challenge for Wine | Wine-Searcher News & Features

Wine labeling laws in both the EU and the US are posing new compliance challenges for producers. As of December 2023, wines in the EU must list ingredients, allergens, and nutritional information, either directly on the label or accessible via QR code or website link. The US is also exploring similar changes, though the timeline for implementation is unclear, with multiple proposals and comment periods expected. While some industry members see this as an inevitable and manageable shift that aligns with consumer desires for transparency, others are concerned about the logistical complexity and the threats to brand integrity. Furthermore, the exact requirements for ingredient disclosure are not fully established, which could lead to confusion over what additives, like the colorant Mega Purple, need to be listed. The industry is divided, with some advocating for full transparency and others concerned that too much information may deter consumers. The slow implementation of these laws leaves room for ongoing debate and adaptation.

Ste. Michelle requests rezoning of Woodinville property – Northwest Wine Report

Ste. Michelle Wine Estates has requested rezoning of parts of its Woodinville property to allow for residential townhouse development. This proposal seeks to expand the property’s potential uses to create new guest experiences and enhance the local community’s enjoyment. The request includes plans for a restaurant, market operations, a boutique hotel, and townhouse units, besides retaining key aspects of the existing facility. This move follows the transition of white wine production to eastern Washington in 2022 and appears to indicate the winery’s future plans amid significant organizational and leadership changes. We look forward to seeing how the restructuring of Ste. Michelle Wine Estates impacts the broader wine industry in Washington.

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